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| Registros recuperados: 10 | |
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| Devisscher, Tahia; Environmental Change Institute‬, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford; Stockholm Environment Institute; tahia.devisscher@ouce.ox.ac.uk; Boyd, Emily; Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, University of Reading; Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies; emily.boyd@reading.ac.uk; Malhi, Yadvinder; Environmental Change Institute‬, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford; yadvinder.malhi@ouce.ox.ac.uk. |
| Understanding complex social-ecological systems, and anticipating how they may respond to rapid change, requires an approach that incorporates environmental, social, economic, and policy factors, usually in a context of fragmented data availability. We employed fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) to integrate these factors in the assessment of future wildfire risk in the Chiquitania region, Bolivia. In this region, dealing with wildfires is becoming increasingly challenging because of reinforcing feedbacks between multiple drivers. We conducted semistructured interviews and constructed different FCMs in focus groups to understand the regional dynamics of wildfire from diverse perspectives. We used FCM modelling to evaluate possible adaptation scenarios in the... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Adaptation; Climate change; Complexity; Scenario; Social-ecological system; Uncertainty; Wildfire risk. |
| Ano: 2016 |
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| Melo,Raphael AC; Vendrame,Larissa PC; Madeira,Nuno R; Blind,Ariel D; Vilela,Nirlene J. |
| ABSTRACT Brassica crops worldwide provide the greatest diversity of products used by man derived from a single genus. Collectively, leafy, flower and root vegetables can be eaten fresh, cooked and processed. The production of these vegetables in Brazil has been growing exponentially in the last decades, due to its economic importance, with major production volumes in several states and a quick monetary return for growers in areas considered of small acreage. With expansion, a number of aspects, including demands for quality and safety of these foods introduce themselves, strictly attached to the forms of production, logistics and their appearance. To meet the challenges and list the trends within the activities of different agents, a multiple case study... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Brassica oleracea; Diagnosis; Scenario; Regions. |
| Ano: 2019 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-05362019000400366 |
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| Candelaria Martínez, Bernardino. |
| Se caracterizaron los agroecosistemas (AES) de la microcuenca Paso de Ovejas 1 (POV-1) y con base en las condiciones locales se diseñó un índice agregado de sustentabilidad, en el cual se incluyeron cuatro dimensiones: ambiental, económica, social y humana, con un total de 29 indicadores. Para determinar los valores umbrales (máximo y mínimo) de cada indicador se consideraron parámetros locales, de cada grupo se seleccionó un AES al azar al que se le denominó agroecosistema tipo, en el que se realizaron evaluaciones detalladas y se representó en un modelo de simulación. Los grupos (G) identificados fueron: G1) tendencia a la ganadería con alta disponibilidad de tierras, G2) tendencia al manejo de cultivos con baja disponibilidad de tierras y G3) tendencia... |
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Palavras-chave: Modelación; Modelos; Escenario; Indice agregado; Territorio; Modeling; Models; Scenario; Aggregation index; Territory; Agroecosistemas Tropicales; Doctorado. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10521/548 |
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| Doyen, Luc; Bene, Christophe; Bertignac, Michel; Blanchard, Fabian; Cisse, Abdoul; Dichmont, Catherine; Gourguet, Sophie; Guyader, Olivier; Hardy, Pierre-yves; Jennings, Sarah; Little, Lorne Richard; Macher, Claire; Mills, David Jonathan; Noussair, Ahmed; Pascoe, Sean; Pereau, Jean-christophe; Sanz, Nicolas; Schwarz, Anne-maree; Smith, Tony; Thebaud, Olivier. |
| Reconciling food security, economic development and biodiversity conservation is a key challenge, especially in the face of the demographic transition characterizing many countries in the world. Fisheries and marine ecosystems constitute a difficult application of this bio-economic challenge. Many experts and scientists advocate an ecosystem approach to manage marine socio-ecosystems for their sustainability and resilience. However, the ways by which to operationalize ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) remain poorly specified. We propose a specific methodological framework-viability modelling-to do so. We show how viability modelling can be applied using four contrasted case-studies: two small-scale fisheries in South America and Pacific and two... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Biodiversity; Ecological economics; Ecosystem approach; Fisheries; Scenario; Viability. |
| Ano: 2017 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00409/52009/52724.pdf |
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| Cisse, Abdoul; Doyen, L.; Blanchard, Fabian; Bene, Christophe; Pereau, J. -c.. |
| This paper applies a stochastic viability approach to a tropical small-scale fishery, offering a theoretical and empirical example of ecosystem-based fishery management approach that accounts for food security. The model integrates multi-species, multi-fleet and uncertainty as well as profitability, food production, and demographic growth. It is calibrated over the period 2006–2010 using monthly catch and effort data from the French Guiana's coastal fishery, involving thirteen species and four fleets. Using projections at the horizon 2040, different management strategies and scenarios are compared from a viability viewpoint, thus accounting for biodiversity preservation, fleet profitability and food security. The analysis shows that under certain... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Small-scale fishery; Biodiversity; Sustainability; Profitability; Food security; Multi-species; Multi-fleet; Stochasticity; Viability; Scenario. |
| Ano: 2015 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00276/38732/37310.pdf |
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| Fekete-Farkas, Maria; Rounsevell, Mark; Audsley, Eric. |
| The study presented in this paper is part of the ACCELERATES (Assessing Climate Change Effects on Land Use and Ecosystems from Regional Analysis to The European Scale) project whose main goal is the construction of integrated predictions of future land use in Europe. The scenarios constructed in the project include estimates not only due to changes in the climate baseline, but also estimates due to possible future changes in socio-economics. The overall aim of the ACCELERATES was to assess the vulnerability of European agroecosystems based on economic and environmental considerations in term of both their sensitivity and capacity to adapt changes. The historical background, the type of economy, the policy aim and governance and importance of agriculture in... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: ACCELERATES; Climate change; Agricultural land use; Scenario; Land Economics/Use; Q24. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24640 |
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| Registros recuperados: 10 | |
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